2020-2023
In 2020, PSFN Co-founders Clem Bezold and Nancy Donovan represented PSFN in presentations to officials from the South Korean government on “The U.S. Response to COVID-19 and the Role of Foresight,” (Donovan) and “Post-COVID political and economic futures.”(Bezold). The conference was entitled: "COVID-19 and the Age of Hyper-uncertainty: Resilience Challenges and Responses."
In 2021, PSFN hosted and co-hosted several virtual presentations on topics ranging from pedagogical issues related to developing a forecasting and foresight curriculum for the National War College in the United States to principles related to foresight for governments facing COVID-19.
"Forecasting and Foresight," April 21, 2021 presentation by Captain Trent Hesslink, Dean of Students at the National War College and Mark Kohler, Senior Vice President of Good Judgment, Inc. Video recording: https://bit.ly/431revo
"(HOW) CAN FUTURES THINKING HELP GOVERNMENTS RECOVER AND REINVENT?," October 1, 2021 presentation by Duncan Cass-Beggs and Alanna Markle, OECD Strategic Foresight Unit at event co-hosted by PSFN with the Association of Professional Futurists. Video recording: https://youtu.be/MIpcFBI9GwI?si=7_R_7R7kmphEhJCn
UPDATES ON GOVERNMENT FORESIGHT IN ASIA, FEATURING SINGAPORE, MALAYSIA, THE PHILIPPINES AND SOUTH KOREA, May 12, 2023 presentations by Cheryl Chung, Head of Singapore for Kantar Public; Rushdi Rahi, Deputy Chief Executive Officer, Malaysia Industry Government Group for High Technology; Shermon Cruz, Chair, Association of Professional Future; Seongwon Park, Director of Innovative Growth Research Group; National Assembly Futures Institute, Seoul, South Korea. Video recording: https://youtu.be/DKp6yqEFSdk?si=GndFUoahp2GSBcEX
UPDATES ON FORESIGHT IN THE CANADIAN AND US GOVERNMENTS, January 10, 2023 presentations by Imran Arshad, Director of Outreach for Policy Horizons Canada; Eric Popiel, Co-Chair of the Federal Foresight Community of Interest (FFCoI). Video recording: https://youtu.be/faBx5WqJe-Y?si=XtKt8ae91Z4Enk3E
2019
PSFN, the Federal Foresight Community of Interest (FFCOI), and the Association for Professional Futurists (APF) hosted this year’s meeting on Wednesday, July 31, 2019. Below are the links for the agenda and the presentations.
2019 Meeting Agenda
The Risk and Threat of Radical Leveling and Emergent Neurotechnologies in Non-Kinetic Operations by Dr. James Giordano, Professor of Neurology and Biochemistry; Chief, Neuroethics Studies Program; Co-Director, Program in Brain Science and Global Law and Policy, Georgetown University Medical Center
Foresight and the Research Policy of the European Union by Nikos Kastrinos, Team Leader for Foresight, European Commission, Directorate General for Research and Innovation
Lessons from the Mouse: A Global Case Study in Corporate Foresight by Frank Spencer, Creative Director and Founder, Kedge and the Futures School; and Yvette Montero Salvatico, Managing Director and Founder, Kedge and the Futures School. Related information:
Kedge LLC – Disney, a case study in Strategic Foresight, a global case study in corporate foresight
Kedge Strategic Foresight Primer, introduces the core concepts of foresight, our methodology and includes job aids
U.S. Special Operations Command: At the Nexus of Strategy and Innovation by Aaron Bazin, Managing Director, Donovan Strategy and Innovation Group
Professional Life in 2040: Impact of Emerging Technologies by Denise Sughrue, Director, Toffler Associates; and Robert (Bob) Wagner, Senior Associate, Toffler Associates
The Evolution of “Collapse” and Other Futures by Jim Dator, Retired Professor, University of Hawai’i. Related information:
A description of the Four Futures approach in the July 2017 APF Compass
A description of how to do a future visioning process using a set of Manoa School Futures from the Journal of Futures Studies
An example of the Manoa School Futures Approach for a Federal agency: the US Forest Service
2018
This year, PSFN and the Federal Foresight Community of Interest (FFCOI) were joined by the Association for Professional Futurists (APF) in hosting the Foresight in Government day on Friday, July 27, 2018. Below are the links for the agenda and the presentations.
2018 Meeting Agenda
Foresight for Mayors and Local Government
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Mayors as Futurists: A Civic Imagination Workshop at SXSW 2018 by Jake Dunagan, Institute for the Future
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Alliance for Innovation’s Foresight Tool for Local Governments by Rebecca Ryan, Next Generation Consulting
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Human Services 2035 Scenarios by Clem Bezold, Institute for Alternative Futures
Foresight in and for Legislatures
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The Korean National Assembly Futures Institute (video presentation) by Jin Park, President, Korea National Assembly Futures Institute
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Foresight in Korea by Kyungmoo Heo, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology
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The Global Trends Unit of the European Parliament (PDF slides) by Danièle Réchard, Global Trends Unit
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GAO’s Technology Assessment, Artificial Intelligence: Emerging Opportunities, Challenges, and Implications by Steve Sanford, GAO
Black Swans, Scanning the Fringe
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University of Houston Foresight’s Scanning the Fringe Meeting by Jennifer Jarratt, Leading Futurists
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“What I fear we are missing” by Ruben Nelson, Foresight Canada
Foresight Cases
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The OECD Digital Transformation Scenarios by Duncan Cass-Beggs, OECD
2017
PSFN held its annual meeting once again with the FFCOI (Federal Foresight Community of Interest). Participants attended both in-person at the Veterans’ Administration Conference Center in Crystal City Virginia and virtual from around the world.
2017 Meeting Agenda
We had four great presentations with discussions, and the presentations are listed below with links to slides for three of them. Lane Jennings of AAI Foresight offers a summary of the presentations and discussion (note that Peter Padbury adds his own summary at the end of Lane’s piece).
AI in Shaping Tomorrow’s Environmental Scanning and Strategic Foresight by Michael Jackson, describing how his firm, Shaping Tomorrow, and its partner organization, ForeKnowledge, developed and are currently using an AI robot named Athena to facilitate studies for specific clients of the trends relevant to government and business.
Building a Foresight System in the Government – Lessons from 11 Countries by Peter Padbury, discussing a study conducted by Policy Horizons Canada on how several governments have successfully integrated foresight into policy and decision making.
A Survey of Methods, Resources and Institutional Arrangements for Strategic Foresight in the U.S. Federal Government by Joseph Greenblott, summarizing a survey that he and his colleagues conducted comparing strategic foresight activities within 19 different U.S. federal agencies and two private organizations.
Strategic Foresight in the U.S. Intelligence Community by Joseph Cyrulik, offering a review of foresight activities across the entire range of U.S. intelligence agencies.
2016
PSFN held its annual meeting with the Federal Foresight Community of Interest (FFCOI) on Friday, July 22, 2016. It was a successful gathering of over 100 participants in the conference center of the U.S. Bureau of Prisons near the U.S. Capital. Below are the links for the agenda and the presentations.
2016 Meeting Agenda
Federal Foresight Community of Interest – Panel on Foresight Experience
Design Thinking & Public Sector Foresight by Stephen Sanford, Government Accountability Office
EPA’s Strategic Foresight Pilot Project by Joe Greenblott, Environmental Protection Agency
Foresight Faces Challenging Issues
Basque Government Use of the Millennium Project Work 2015 by M. Gotzone Sagardui, Lanbide/Basque Government
WorkTech Study 2050 in Basque County by Ibon Zugasti, Prospektiker – Basque Government
The Emerging Economy 2030: Some initial explorations by Peter Padbury, Policy Horizons Canada
Advising National Governments and Administration Transitions on Foresight Processes
Foresight in the Government of Canada by Tracey Wait, Policy Horizons Canada
The Aspirational Component of Foresight: The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development by Chris Mihm, U.S. Government Accountability Office
The Aspirational Component of Foresight: The SDGs by Catarina Tully, School of International Futures
2015
This year’s meeting was held on Friday, July 24, 2015 from 8:30 am to 3 pm. The 50 attendees included turnout from U.S. federal agencies (Federal Bureau of Prisons, U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs, U.S. Coast Guard, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, U.S. Government Accountability Office, U.S. Forest Service, and National Defense University) as well as officials from variety of Canadian government agencies and the World Bank. Attendees also represented foresight from the governments of Finland and the Netherlands and included those from a range of academic and other organizations in the U.S., Canada, the UK, Bermuda, and China. Below you’ll find the meeting agenda and presenters’ slides.
2015 Meeting Agenda
On The State of Foresight in U.S. Federal Agencies
Public Sector Foresight: The Future is Now by Stephen Sanford, U.S. Government Accountability Office
U.S. Federal Foresight Community of Interest by Joseph Moore, U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs
Evergreen: Influencing Strategic Decisions Within the Coast Guard by Eric Popiel, U.S. Coast Guard
Foresight Research in the U.S. Forest Service by David Bengston, U.S. Forest Service
Foresight in a Regulatory Agency
AER and Strategic Foresight by Richard Dixon, Alberta Energy Regulator
On Foresight, Complexity & Technological Change
Improving Policy, Strategy & Decision-Making in a Complex World by Sheila Ronis, Walsh College
Security Policy Challenges of Accelerating Technological Change by James Kadtke, Center for Technology and National Security Policy, NDU;School of Global Policy and Strategy, UC San Diego
3D Printing: Opportunities, Challenges, and Policy Implications of Additive Manufacturing by Timothy Persons, U.S. Government Accountability Office
2014
2014 Meeting Agenda
U.S. Federal Foresight Community of Interest by James-Christian Blockwood, US Department of Veterans Affairs, Director of Strategic Studies, Office of Policy & Planning
Developing scenarios to determine future Canadian Army requirements and concepts by Lieutenant-Colonel Chris Rankin & Peter Gizewski, Canadian Army Land Warfare Centre
Developing scenarios for public health by Clem Bezold, Institute for Alternative Futures
The History and Future of Scenarios & the U.S. Coast Guard by CDR Eric Popiel, US Coast Guard
Using “Prospective Evaluation Synthesis” & grounded foresight to design education-related study for Congressional use by Jamila Kennedy, US GAO, Education, Workforce and Income Security Team
Creating an International Public Sector Foresight Network by Nancy Donovan, US GAO, Applied Research & Methods